Originally Posted by jeff78
Yeah, HID's are a dead end. All of the development is in LED's because they're semiconductor devices and the envelope on these is constantly being pushed. And LED's give car designers great freedom in styling.
But in the long term it's all moot anyway.
In 50 years external lighting will no longer be necessary because cars will all be self driving.
And 50 years after that, cars will no longer be necessary because either we would simply digitize and transfer our consciousnesses to temporary host bodies at our destinations, or we would no longer exist because global warming.
All the predictions you stated will not be in the consumer market. It will not change that fast, none of those things. Maybe self driving limited interstate traffic, but you are sorely overestimating the cost of this.... If it's not happening in Japan, well, it just isn't going to be in the USA with cheap fuel for hundreds of years.
Yes the development of HID's is dead, the tech has matured, THAT is why you use it. LED's are being pushed but HID has very similar efficiency. True LED has more flexible design options, but it is still constrained to "aerodynamics" and I question what true savings there is by shrinking your headlight by one inch.... from what I"m seeing LED lamps are just as big as ever.