Some may drag their feet, but very few will be able to. If there are any commercial customers in their base, the customers will demand Ethernet based services and already have. If the ILEC doesn't want to spend the money, then there are CLECs who will and the ILEC will watch their base erode. TDM is dead.It might take that long for "Happy Valley Telephone Company and Golf Cart Repair" to upgrade their equipment. Small independent telephone companies in rural areas without the deep pockets of AT&T and Verizon. Even Contel, which was at one time the 3rd largest phone company in the USA, ran on a shoestring budget compared to the big two (Bell and GTE).
Out of all the thousands of data ports I see pretty much every day, not one of my customers has a single TDM data circuit left, not one. That includes ports in at least 50 other countries and many rural areas of the US.
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