Originally Posted By: Indydriver
As a liberal arts major in college, I scoured the ciriculum publication for “pud” science courses to fulfill that unnecessary portion of my graduation requirement. A favorite was Meteorology 101. Taught by a former TV weatherman, I remember one important factoid of forecasting the weather. No matter where you are on this planet, half the time tomorrow’s weather will be the same as today’s. So, you’ve got a 50-50 chance of getting it right before you lift a finger.
That is right. That is called persistence forecasting, and it is usually the best way to start a forecast. If it ain't broke, don't fix it!
As a liberal arts major in college, I scoured the ciriculum publication for “pud” science courses to fulfill that unnecessary portion of my graduation requirement. A favorite was Meteorology 101. Taught by a former TV weatherman, I remember one important factoid of forecasting the weather. No matter where you are on this planet, half the time tomorrow’s weather will be the same as today’s. So, you’ve got a 50-50 chance of getting it right before you lift a finger.
That is right. That is called persistence forecasting, and it is usually the best way to start a forecast. If it ain't broke, don't fix it!