Originally Posted By: fdcg27
Capri,
I've always had plenty of warning when a tire was getting really bad, and I've never had a tire fail in service because I pay attention to increases in vibration or lack of roundness without regard to balance.
Will a failing tire typically warn you, assuming it's been kept properly inflated, hasn't been tracked and doesn't look to be falling apart, before it finally fails?
That has been my experience, but I'm willing to be told that I'm wrong.
We had a defective GY tire blow out at interstate speeds about 15 years ago. It was only 3-4 years old. It gave zero warning at speed, and there were no outside indicators in advance. Fortunately, no one was hurt and the damage was limited to tire and wheel. GY replaced it, but that was small consolation. But it woke us up to these things.
I've since been involved in trucking and tire cases over the years, and have worked with some forensic experts who see these things after they fail. Commercial truck tires are very different beasts from passenger car tires, but they're all round, rubber, and can fail. Physics, engineering and materials science are the same.
A couple quick (well-known) facts I've also learned: At 60 mph, a passenger tire must resist an OUTWARD centrifugal force of approximately two tons. And the heat generated in braking a full-sized car from 60 mph is enough to melt a pound of iron. A lot of that goes on inside the tire, where it can't be seen.
The industry is all over the place on any bright line "use by" date on tires. Michelin is presently at 10, but some automakers are as low as 6 years. So CR is right that it's a big grey window subject to a lot of factors. Underinflate, keep it out in the sun, and maybe it fails one day like today (98F) at 70mph after 6 or 8 years.
That is why I err on the side of caution in these matters and dumped what some might think were still "good" Michelin UHP donuts at 7-8 years. I don't want to kill anyone to save a couple bucks.