Originally Posted By: Astro14
Originally Posted By: billt460
Originally Posted By: Astro14
Not hard to believe at all, Bill.
The flying public searches for the lowest fare, assuming that all airlines, and all pilots, meet the same standards.
Bad assumption.
In the industry, we see examples of poor decisions, bad judgement, lax safety practices, all the time.
It just seems like such a tremendously high risk to any reward. A bit like leaving for a long road trip, without first checking your tire pressure or fluid levels in your vehicle.
Completely agree.
The "Normalization of deviance" is common, unfortunately, and explains many of the accidents (including the shuttle accidents).
If 5 knots fast is OK on approach, and you get away with it, then 10 knots fast is OK.
After a while, maybe 15, or even twenty, is OK, and the deviations continue to grow, and keep being accepted.
And soon, you've created a culture where an airplane (737) crosses the threshold of a short runway (Burbank) at 80 knots fast, without landing flaps, and touches down long, skidding off the end into a gas station.
I'll guarantee that wasn't the first time that pilot flew way above target airspeed, or was late in getting landing flaps selected during the approach.
But each time the deviation occurs without consequence, it becomes accepted unconsciously as "normal". The risk is still there, but the poor practice is no longer perceived as risky.
Normalization of deviance is something that we work, constantly, to eliminate precisely because it's both pernicious and prevalent.
I see normalization of deviance all the time in my field (aircraft maintenance). I hadn't heard that exact term before, but I know exactly what you mean by it.
The idea can be summed up by the following, very common, phrase:
"It'll be fine."