Originally Posted By: OVERKILL
When you create a pool of frustrated people who want to work and can't, they become unpredictable. Some may lash out, others may simply give up and live off the system, others may turn to crime. You remove a man's purpose, no matter how basic that purpose seems, you fuel frustration and discontent.
The Socialist solution to this seems to be the philosophy of a basic minimum income, funded through tax dollars. However shifting a growing pool of unemployed onto the taxpayer dime, a bill footed by those who remain employed, will breed resentment and anger. It will also do nothing to satisfy the drive of those who need to "do something" to feel useful. With that will come increased incidents of depression and suicide.
Automation is a double-edged sword. If it becomes cheaper than Chinese labour, how many millions of people there will rapidly become unemployed? We keep moving labour around to the cheapest market, but those markets are rapidly becoming less cheap, which in turn fuels the drive for automation which brings it far fewer employment opportunities.
There can only be so many Walmart greeters. Machines can stock shelves and clean floors.
We can only shift so much to other countries - I see clothes are now being made in Cambodia, Vietnam and Sri Lanka but it will be a matter of time before they get swamped and of course those governments are known for corruption. Some countries in Africa are now seeing the Chinese contract clothing/shoe manufacturers move there for cheap labor, and of course that industry is resistant to automation.
I agree with the idea of a UBI, but you bring up what is the biggest resistance piece of that. Most Americans believe in the idea of individual freedom and that a 'guvmint handout is evil. But right now in America, you have people in the rust belt who are collecting disability or welfare in the form of SNAP(food stamps) or other programs. Drug addiction and death rates are high in those areas, and yet they feel that things can turn around with the current administration. The image of the urban "welfare queen" is still etched in many people's minds. In that part of the country, you identified with the factories and mines and want to work with your hands, not pushing paper or code. Somethings we can be much better off without like coal but the biggest obstacle is keeping those workers trained and relevant for whatever comes next.
At the risk of sounding political, I don't mind seeing my tax dollars go towards a social safety net and there needs to be strong checks and balances on automation, now with the rise of AI which can be a force for good or bad.