Originally Posted By: Drew99GT
Originally Posted By: Burt
Originally Posted By: Joel_MD
87 octane is around $2.79 around me. Diesel is about $3.29.
I understand that domestic oil output has been slowly increasing from the Bakken oil field in North Dakota and all the fracking operations in Pennsylvania. The higher quantity of oil production puts a downward pressure on prices. The volatility in prices is partially due to the futures market, in which speculators can push the prices either up or down. When the prices are increasing people complain about the evil speculators, but you don't hear any praise from those same people when prices get pushed down by speculators piling on.
Wrong. Saudi is currently manipulating the oil market. In the short run, Saudi can make the price anything they want it to be. Speculators are reduced to simply betting on the Saudi's next move.
They're manipulating the price downward to compete! They can't make the price whatever they want any longer. Finally OPEC is busted thanks to north American resources.
The biggest driver currently of oil prices downward is the surge in the US dollar. Light sweet crude effectively topped around June 15th and Saudi Arabia responded last week with a price cut for oil shipped to the US. Saudi Arabia is responding to the oil market, not vice versa.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsb...-price-war.html
Originally Posted By: Drew99GT
Originally Posted By: Burt
Originally Posted By: Joel_MD
87 octane is around $2.79 around me. Diesel is about $3.29.
I understand that domestic oil output has been slowly increasing from the Bakken oil field in North Dakota and all the fracking operations in Pennsylvania. The higher quantity of oil production puts a downward pressure on prices. The volatility in prices is partially due to the futures market, in which speculators can push the prices either up or down. When the prices are increasing people complain about the evil speculators, but you don't hear any praise from those same people when prices get pushed down by speculators piling on.
Wrong. Saudi is currently manipulating the oil market. In the short run, Saudi can make the price anything they want it to be. Speculators are reduced to simply betting on the Saudi's next move.
They're manipulating the price downward to compete! They can't make the price whatever they want any longer. Finally OPEC is busted thanks to north American resources.
The biggest driver currently of oil prices downward is the surge in the US dollar. Light sweet crude effectively topped around June 15th and Saudi Arabia responded last week with a price cut for oil shipped to the US. Saudi Arabia is responding to the oil market, not vice versa.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsb...-price-war.html
Yes I agree it's all inter-related and Saudi is responding to a long term trend. But my points were that (1) speculators are not the causing the current price decline and (2) Saudi is choosing by its short term actions to influence the price. They could have decided otherwise, but evidently feel it is not in their interest. If they want the world price next month to be $60 or a $120, they can make it happen. Nobody else can do that by opening and closing valves.