Help on a New Car Decision. Prius owners join in.

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Originally Posted By: montero1
I drive around 600 miles a week. I've narrowed it down to the Prius, or the Mitsubishi Lancer 2.0. The five year total cost figures are within $900 or so (in favor of the Lancer), considering the Lancer will be @ 1.9% financing, and costs $6000 less.


Prius is a decent vehicle, and while the true environmental implications of batteries have not truly been solved (batteries are NASTY things), as far as operational efficiency, youll have no better option that gives you decent space and performance.

Did you have a look at this month's C&D, where they review the lancer? It was the most expensive of the bunch (not necessarily indicative of anything), and while it did most things well, the only area where it really won was in acceleration areas... This means that FE suffers proportionately. The lancer had the poorest FE of the test.

IMO, youre looking at an apples to oranges comparisson. The prius is an economy car with a high pricetag. The lancer is a wannabe sports car (can't stand all the posers with their big fake wings on not-fast lancer cars), with a more or less economy pricetag. In the end all, lifecycle costs might be a wash, but I'd be careful with my approach to the lancer.

Some things that will eat you alive are "performance" looking items like really big wheels with super low-profile tires. Not a very good choice for a car being driven 600 miles a week, as youll eat through them quick, and may be forced into having summer/winter tires.

I'd try to do a detailed analysis of two similarly equipped cars, to see how much gas you'd have to save to make the prius cost effective. Start with a zero residual value (since you drive so much, youre a prime candidate to drive the car's value to nothing, get some years of effectively free service, and make out well), then do another with, say an estimate of value 5 years and whatever mileage youll have at that point. See how the numbers work out.

As for the prius being old technology, they likely are talking about the fact that it does not have advanced lithium-ion batteries, and also perhaps that it is not a partial plug in hybrid vehicle, or capable of being run electric only (at least here in the US). Those things are coming, but Id venture that (a) when Li batteries become more accepted, there will be a retrofit for interested parties, maybe from a 3rd party company, maybe from Toyota, and (b) evenif you graduate from a regular hybrid like we have today to some plug-in variant, the extra efficiency gans are small compared to what youre getting here. And for someone doing 600 miles, they will be irrelevant to you for the most part anyhow.

Id calculate real dollars and what the results are... and go from there. Also see what kinds of deals you can get practically. Id assume that a better discount and deal is available on a lancer than a prius. Again, you may really need to save a lot of gas to make up the difference.

I'd also look at some other options, too. Hondas arent good deals in the secondary market, but considering your use, a civic or last-gen MT 4-cyl accord could be a great choice. I agree with folks saying to try to grab an 08 corolla while you can. The next gen gets bigger, and likely will be thirstier for all practical purposes.

Folks like to be down on VW, but considering our good experience thus far with the rabbit, and the great value that the VW products offer, I'd have a look at a 2.0T equipped Jetta or passat. I had a passat as a rental the other day, and it was efficient, comfortable, spacious, etc. I averaged >34 MPG doing 70-80 on the highway, and it was an AT-equipped car.

Id re-scope your options, re-verify what is available and what might be attractive. Try to get to an auto show if you can, they can help quite a bit...

Good luck,

JMH
 
Originally Posted By: H2GURU
ek,
The Prius' secondary propulsion (battery )will eventually need to be serviced or replaced?? The vehicles are too new to need that now, but as an owner, it a consideration...long term. I keep my vehicles a long time and for now I need more data as did the original poster.

I was at a fuel cell car show a few weeks ago and went for a ride with a Ford engineer. He said that battery life is unknown, but generally it should be about 150k. With that said, there are quite a few Priuses on the road with over 150k miles that are still running on the original battery pack. However, these cars are less than ten years old, and it'll be interesting to see how the battery packs will fare with both time and mileage.
 
Originally Posted By: H2GURU
ek,
The Prius' secondary propulsion (battery )will eventually need to be serviced or replaced?? The vehicles are too new to need that now, but as an owner, it a consideration...long term. I keep my vehicles a long time and for now I need more data as did the original poster.


Of course they will. But so far, after eight years on North American roads (longer in Japan), it's shaping up to look as if for most owners, but with some exceptions, the battery will be good for the life of the car. But let's assume that an owners does, at some time, require a new or refurb battery. For most owners, especially those coming from poor mileage vehicles, the gas savings alone will pretty quickly cover a new battery. Last time I checked a few months back, a new battery (not a refurb) cost $2300 (gotta love those internet hysterics about batteries costing $8-10K...
smirk2.gif
). If mine went today (knock on wood), my savings as compared to the the G35 I had been driving before, have more than covered a new battery.

Another angle to consider: yes, with the HSD cars, you do get some added components and systems that just aren't there in a conventional car (battery, inverters, wiring, etc.). On the other hand, mechanically, the Prius CVT is idiot simple compared to the nightmarishly complex five and six speed autos that are standard on most cars today. So while you do get some new potential problems, you're losing some others that come with most other cars.

Again, the Prius-I and Prius-II have been on our roads for eight years now, and despite their establishment of an admirable record for reliability, some still look at the cars as something new and mysterious.

The HSD cars are not a magic silver bullet of automotive perfection, but the have proven themselves to be good, economic (sometimes even fun -- like at the gas pumps) transportation.
cheers3.gif
 
Originally Posted By: The Critic

I was at a fuel cell car show a few weeks ago and went for a ride with a Ford engineer. He said that battery life is unknown, but generally it should be about 150k. With that said, there are quite a few Priuses on the road with over 150k miles that are still running on the original battery pack. However, these cars are less than ten years old, and it'll be interesting to see how the battery packs will fare with both time and mileage.


Fuel cells do not have the transient response characteristics of an IC engine, due to no rotating mass to impart momentum, and the fact that they are diffusion-limited, injecting fuel and air isnt as easy as an IC engine.

Therefore, the fuel cell will go up and down w.r.t. transient loads on a longer time scale, effectively serving as a traction motor and a battery charger. Most of the big pulse or instantaneous loads are served by the battery. While the battery helps in many cases for a hybrid, the IC engine is still FAR more responsive than a FC can be.

Therefore, if they claimed 150k on a FC hybrid battery, the more mild IC hybrid battery should be able to beat that handily.

JMH
 
Originally Posted By: JHZR2
Originally Posted By: The Critic

I was at a fuel cell car show a few weeks ago and went for a ride with a Ford engineer. He said that battery life is unknown, but generally it should be about 150k. With that said, there are quite a few Priuses on the road with over 150k miles that are still running on the original battery pack. However, these cars are less than ten years old, and it'll be interesting to see how the battery packs will fare with both time and mileage.


Fuel cells do not have the transient response characteristics of an IC engine, due to no rotating mass to impart momentum, and the fact that they are diffusion-limited, injecting fuel and air isnt as easy as an IC engine.

Therefore, the fuel cell will go up and down w.r.t. transient loads on a longer time scale, effectively serving as a traction motor and a battery charger. Most of the big pulse or instantaneous loads are served by the battery. While the battery helps in many cases for a hybrid, the IC engine is still FAR more responsive than a FC can be.

Therefore, if they claimed 150k on a FC hybrid battery, the more mild IC hybrid battery should be able to beat that handily.

JMH

I was asking him about hybrid batteries in vehicles such as the Escape.
 
PHP:

"Id calculate real dollars and what the results are... and go from there. Also see what kinds of deals you can get practically. Id assume that a better discount and deal is available on a lancer than a prius. Again, you may really need to save a lot of gas to make up the difference."
PHP:



I can get a fully loaded # 6 Prius for $25,307, or a loaded Lancer GTS less the Nav for $18k. For the ninth time, I DO NOT like the Corolla. I've done the math with the mileage, so for the SECOND TIME, it is within about $900 in favor of the Lancer over 5 years. I know I'll drive the next cars value down to nothing, so I want to be sure I get something I'm prepared to keep for a long time.
 
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You seem to be pretty set on the Lancer, so you should go with that. I agree that the Prius's costs will be difficult to make up (though who knows where gas prices are headed, certainly up) and you definitely are a strong Mitsubishi fan. Considering your good luck with this brand I bet it'll work best for you.

However, I wouldn't be concerned too much with the Prius costing a lot down the road. It has certainly proven itself in high mileage, short time situations, which says something. Also, regular cars have gotten exceedingly complex as well, with the likely possibility of having big $$$ repairs down the road. The new Camry with its complex engine and transmission comes to mind (I think ekpolk already noted this). I'm not sure how complex the Lancer is though.
 
Originally Posted By: montero1



I can get a fully loaded # 6 Prius for $25,307, or a loaded Lancer GTS less the Nav for $18k. For the ninth time, I DO NOT like the Corolla. I've done the math with the mileage, so for the SECOND TIME, it is within about $900 in favor of the Lancer over 5 years. I know I'll drive the next cars value down to nothing, so I want to be sure I get something I'm prepared to keep for a long time.


For the SECOND TIME, you need to do a more detailed analysis, or tell us what your reasoning is. Why should I believe your numbers if you give no basis for final value, average MPG, maintenance and tire costs, PM, etc. That $900 may turn into $2500 awful quick, or it may become $0 or -$1000 really quick. Plus, 5 years is only 150k, not a real risk zone based upon the data we have... and isnt exactly running any car into the ground with zero residual value.

Like the corolla or not, the reality of what is in favor can change at any time... you ask folks for input on things that may or may not be available, data-wise. Folks give you their analysis, and you come back with a rude response? I work in the area of advanced battery chemistry and know more about what is coming down the pike than most (some of which I cannot share). I get a rude response?

With the tone of the response above, I don't know that anyone (myself first and foremost) will be inclined to chime in.

JMH
 
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I did the most detailed analysis I need to, knowing the miles I'll be driving, and the prices I'd be paying for both, with the interest rate being a key factor. I have already said THE ONLY small car I'm interested in is the Lancer. So the slightly better mileage the Corolla may get over the Lancer doesn't mean much, after all, I've been looking at the Prius, you don't think I looked at the Yaris and Camry Hybrid? In any case, I got the Prius last night, and on my 50 mile trip home, I averaged close to 47 mpg on my way home. I don't think my response was rude, but shoving a car at me I've already said I don't like is. Lighten up, it's not like I said "F^^& you!"

There are several people I talked to who have a ton of miles on their Prius with no problems at all. I think the battery will be the least of my worries.
 
2004 J.D. Power and Associates Vehicle Dependability Study:

1) TOYOTA 2) Honda 3) Porsche 4) GM 5) BMW 6) Nissan
7) Ford 8) Subaru 9) DaimlerChrysler 10) Mitsubishi
11) Suzuki 12) VOLKSWAGEN 13) Hyundai 14) Isuzu
15) Daewoo 16) Kia

08 CR reliability rankings:
http://www.consumerreports.org/cro/cars/ne...7_best_cars.htm

Between toyota and mitsubishi you made the best choice. According to them Mits currently holds a lower rank than JD gave them in 04.
 
I hate when people ask opinions, receive many of them, then keep throwing out options as the thread grows. Yeah, the rude responses from those seeking guidance is annoying too.
 
Then there are people like you, that throw on a senseless post that contributes absolutley nothing.
 
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