I've got to re-state the obvious: no BITOG-maintained car will this matter in. If the OM states a lower viscosity than you're typically comfortable with (or that is recommended in other countries...), regardless of the motivation for its recommendation (e.g., CAFE), the likelihood of having an oil-related issue is more dependent on design and manufacturing defects than the chosen oil itself.
If Subarus from a certain vintage are known for oil-burning, a small percentage will be documented and due to owner neglect. The next, higher percentage will likely be due to some sort of manufacturing defect that is fixed due to meeting the consumption criteria. The next, higher percentage will likely be due to some sort of manufacturing defect, but not fixed due to not meeting the criteria for repair (these are the saddest lot of people). The largest percentage of manufactured vehicles, for the vast majority of owners, will experience zero to inconsequential amounts of consumption throughout the life of their vehicles. Furthermore, I'd argue that none of said consumption has to do with the viscosity of oil used (if meeting the OM requirements). Note: Subaru is pretty generic with their oil requirements compared to some manufacturers.
If I was concerned in the least about my FB25, I'd err on the side of caution and use only XW-30. I am more cautious with my FA20DIT and do use a slightly higher viscosity oil, but that's because of its nature. The FA20DIT produces boost very early in the rev range, especially for people who drive it like my wife, in I-mode, where-in boost is used for a certain requested torque over a higher, more aggressive RPM, for most scenarios. Regardless of bearing design, I think an ~11-12cSt oil at temp is prudent, when boost exceeds 10# at 2,500 RPM. The recommended 5W-30 would likely be fine, but XW-40 gives me peace of mind, especially at a Cobb Stage 1 tuned state.
Peace of mind: a hated phrase of mine, but I still succumb to its lure in certain situations. The same holds true for why I'll dump and replace the oil in my OPE yearly, even if it's not needed (I remember NEVER replacing the oil in our family mower growing up, because we didn't know better - ran fine every year! Or so we thought....) Ahhhhh, now that I can afford peace of mind!