Originally Posted By: eljefino
The "malaise" era of, well, huge 5 mph bumpers (1973-1983) kinda got a pass for being low-performance turkeys. Sure you could hop up to higher compression easily enough, and there were cuties like the Dodge Lil Red Wagon, but most stuff was garbage. Look through a downsized GM interior and there are akward parts bin things like sideways HVAC vents that don't really fit. The Malibu rear windows didn't roll down! Etc etc.
Where I'm going with this... I think we're neck deep in the next generation of these turkeys, but for style. Huge thick A-pillars, no visibility, played out retro looks. The stylists have jumped the shark on finding new material. The Buick Lacrosse looks ok from the front but check out where the rear door bottom meets the rocker panel-- no crease, no plastic, nothing going on!
Take a modern car, age it ten years, the headlights will be scratched and yellowed. The plastic-coated "chrome" will be full of condensation and funk-- look at a chevy bow tie on a few-years-old HHR for example.
Cars bottom out in value at around 25 years and this has been true for a while. VW bugs are hip again and toys for the rich. So are 1st gen Japanese RWD imports. What's next, pristine 1st gen Caravans just because of their rarity? 1st gen Tempos? We need cars so forgettable that 99.9% get crushed so the remaining ones are hip... same with any other collectible really. Beanie Babies won't make it. 35mm film cameras won't-- people paid too much and won't throw them out.
X2. This is a good example of why "the more things change, the more they stay the same" isn't really true here. The most collectible cars from the malaise era are trucks. Cars are built and marketed in a new and different way than they were before, and that will have an impact on collector value. There are also far more models than there used to be, so more cars will get lost in the mix.
Cars are more complex to repair, and do get totaled easier. Plus, with scrap prices higher than ever, when at the end of their life, fewer people will just stick them in a barn or garage, keeping the supply of parts and restorable cars up. They will get recycled instead, and many oddball parts you would need in a restoration will dry up.
All of the technology in cars HAS changed them. Had a customer who needed a rear HVAC switch for a Cadillac SRX. Not a complex control unit with a screen, a single switch assembly with no display. $172. Guess what? He decided to just live without it. Maybe he'll find it online cheaper, but that is one tiny part in a car loaded with features.
And the styling has gotten so strange and aimless, I think modern cars will age poorly. A lot of stuff from the mid 2000s already looks like garbage, and styling has only become stranger since. Yellow lights, cracked plastic, malfunctioning blend door actuators and such, several thousand to fix if anything major goes out or the car needs significant body work = junky disposa-car.
It is what it is. I am sorry, but I have a hard time believing many modern mainstream vehicles will have any kind of collector value. Car culture HAS changed, attitudes towards cars HAVE changed. They are less culturally significant than they used to be. People will not collect Sonatas the way they collect Tri Five Chevys or old Mustangs.