Originally Posted by dnewton3
Originally Posted by bismic1
It takes a LONG time to get meaningful data. Doing it on only a few engines (let alone on only one) is far from being "universally" applicable!
You might benefit from reading this:
https://www.bobistheoilguy.com/used-oil-analysis-how-to-decide-what-is-normal/
If you want to know how the lubes are doing in your one specific application, relative to other lubes, you're no where near close enough in samples.
If you want to know how the vehicle is doing relative to other vehicles, then you may well have enough data for macro analysis.
If you want to send me your data, I'll crunch it down for you. PM me.
I totally agree, that I do not have enough samples for an accurate determination .... with one exception. The Schaeffer 9000. Lead increased with it. Lead dropped when changed. Lead increased when I went back to it. Lead again dropped when I changed. The drop was susteined each time I changed the oil (and continued to go lower as the dilution effect of each new oil change dictated - ie the lead was diluted and there was no increase from the engine to offset the dilution). Others have identified the same thing w/ the Schaeffer 9000 oil (and there is certainly no lead it it as a virgin oil). It isn't enough for a statistical evaluation and a technical paper, but it is enough for me.
As far as the iron goes, there are numerous things that can be at play, so I added the statements at the end of my post (I probably needed even more disclaimers!). My intention at the beginning wasn't ever to develop enough data to post a correlation between lubes and engine oil analyses. I still don't consider it as such. Just interesting data.
I would love to send you my data, I can PM you my email address. That said, I am skeptical that much can be conclusively determined. I sometimes used additives and sometimes didn't. I sometimes went to 7500 mile OCI. It is far from "designed experimentation". All I did was to conduct it so that I would get one data point (the fourth) with a minimized impact from the previous oil - since 22% of the old oil is retained. I even had a turbo failure around 200k miles - don't know how hot I got the bearings, but a chunk was missing from the turbine wheel. Mainly curiosity that compelled me to do the analyses. I had no real expectations from it!
Again - I appreciate the offer, will send a PM.