Originally Posted By: john_pifer
So, here’s a question for you airline pilots:
Let’s say you had a problem while over the North Pole and had to get the aircraft down immediately. Where would you divert to? I’m assuming even at the most remote point, the flight plan would allow for a diversion to SOME airport within under an hour, correct?
What if all engines were lost?
All engines lost, you're crashing. Doesn't matter where you are in the world. Sully called it a water landing, but, with four airports all within 20 miles, he still couldn't make it.
Longest over water stretch (no divert options) anywhere in the world is California to Hawaii. Three hours to the nearest airport if you lose an engine. Perhaps more. Lots of places in the world where the nearest airport at which you can land is many hours away. Don't forget, the combination of weather, approach facilities, and aircraft capability, at that moment, might preclude landing at the very nearest airport.
North Pole isn't much different. Divert options, yeah. But none of them good. And from the pole itself, about three hours or more to any of them. Thule AB - 10,000 but with a wicked mag var that makes approaches hard. When your compass is off by degrees, it's hard to navigate...
Svalbard 8,000. Not much there. A few former Bear Bomber bases in Siberia, all with long runways, but zero maintenance or passenger accommodation. Check out The Pas Manitoba, Northernmost runway on your way North out of ORD...5,995 feet. 4,000 people in town. (I know, Churchill is up there too, as was Yellowknife, but they were always farther away...at least it has a 9,000' runway). From The Pas to the Pole is another 2,000 miles...
For nearly all the Arctic Circle diverts, if you can land, that is, if the weather allows it, you're potentially looking at -40 temps in the winter, with severe exposure (people die in minutes outside) and a real chance of the fuel freezing, and killing the APU. None of them are set up for taking care of hundreds of people. None of them can fix the airplane.
Our polar flights (ORD-HKG for example) carried exposure suits so that the pilots could survive outside the airplane to coordinate with ground personnel.
Polar overflight makes sense in the winter, if you're going West at all, to get out of the jet stream, but it includes the risk of fuel freezing in flight, too. Jet-A is rated to -40C. The warning in my airplane is for -37C. You increase fuel temp by going faster, or going lower. Fuel doesn't cool to ambient when in flight (but it will on the gourd in Siberia!!), it actually cools to the Total Air Temp. So, the challenge of managing fuel temp when flying over the Pole in the winter is quite real.
We mitigated this by sampling the fuel as it was uploaded into our 747s, it was analyzed and then, as we were over about Winnipeg we would send the actual freezing point of that fuel load to the airplane. It was often as good as -44 or even -47. You had to stay 3C above the fuel freeze point to keep everything running. Once the fuel hit the engine, the oil coolers warmed it up just fine. But in the wing tanks, it could develop paraffin crystals and stop pumping.
That's bad.
Same thing could happen on the ground in Siberia. Also, bad.
All long range airplanes are certified to have cargo fire suppression for at least three hours in flight. Doesn't help in a Swiss Air 111 type fire, but long range airplanes are designed to fly in those remote areas. For twin engine airplanes, ETOPS (Extended Twin Operating Procedures Standardization) was developed to ensure proper flight planning and aircraft systems redundancy so that if you lose an engine, or cabin pressure, in the worst place, you can make it to a reasonable divert field, with reasonable weather, in a specified amount of time. We (757/767 guys) generally fly 120 minute ETOPS in the Atlantic. But, if the weather is bad, we might be 180 minute ETOPS. Some airplanes, like the 777, are now certified for 330 minutes.
That's 5 1/2 hours on one engine. But in some places in the world, like the North Pole in winter, you will have to fly that long on one engine (lower and slower than normal) to get to a reasonable divert (which includes runway length, weight capacity, approach facilities, firefighting capability, and current weather in the definition of reasonable).