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Storms develop out of nowhere? #4661271
02/09/18 06:57 PM
02/09/18 06:57 PM
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 5,123
Houston, Texas
motor_oil_madman Offline OP
motor_oil_madman  Offline OP
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 5,123
Houston, Texas
I have to give it to the weather forecasters lately. They've been doing a good job predicting the weather. At one point I quit watching the forecast cause it was a joke. So how is it they predict rain when it's not even there 4 hours earlier? I just checked the radar a few hours ago and there was nothing on it. Now I check it and their is one big mess on it.


2007.5 dodge cummins 6.7 liter. Chevron Delo400 15w40. 7000 mile or 250-300hr intervals.

Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: motor_oil_madman] #4661274
02/09/18 07:01 PM
02/09/18 07:01 PM
Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 11,878
In the shop
53' Stude Offline
53' Stude  Offline
Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 11,878
In the shop
Welcome to winter. Even a groundhog can predict weather better than "doppler radar"

They said we would have mild winter; my rear end! 4" snow and 1.5" freezing rain Wednesday. Oh joy it was NOT


09' Camry LE, 141,020 miles

PP 5w30 and TG 4967
Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: motor_oil_madman] #4661275
02/09/18 07:04 PM
02/09/18 07:04 PM
Joined: Oct 2004
Posts: 8,315
Cincinnati, OH, USA
bullwinkle Offline
bullwinkle  Offline
Joined: Oct 2004
Posts: 8,315
Cincinnati, OH, USA
Originally Posted By: motor_oil_madman
I have to give it to the weather forecasters lately. They've been doing a good job predicting the weather. At one point I quit watching the forecast cause it was a joke. So how is it they predict rain when it's not even there 4 hours earlier? I just checked the radar a few hours ago and there was nothing on it. Now I check it and their is one big mess on it.
It's all in the models-supercomputers crunching numbers. Getting better forecasts every year!


06 Ram 3500 CTD 4X4(FG Venturi), 93 GMC C3500 6.2, 89 F-450 7.3, 98 XJ 4.0(XG8A), 05 xB(XG3600), 18 Transit 3.7, 03 Merc Grand Marquis 4.6 2V(XG2)
Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: motor_oil_madman] #4661317
02/09/18 07:51 PM
02/09/18 07:51 PM
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 6,499
...
PimTac Offline
PimTac  Offline
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 6,499
...
In the PNW we are used to surprise storms. Usually winter storms come out of nowhere and the usual routine for the weathermen is to tell us another one is coming which never appears.

I was in grade school when this famous storm hit the region. Nobody knew of its coming either.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Columbus_Day_Storm_of_1962


Cannot see signatures any longer so it doesn’t matter.
Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: motor_oil_madman] #4661320
02/09/18 07:58 PM
02/09/18 07:58 PM
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 5,123
Houston, Texas
motor_oil_madman Offline OP
motor_oil_madman  Offline OP
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 5,123
Houston, Texas
Typically this time of year in Houston we don't get many rain storms where it thunders and what not.


2007.5 dodge cummins 6.7 liter. Chevron Delo400 15w40. 7000 mile or 250-300hr intervals.

Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: PimTac] #4661329
02/09/18 08:06 PM
02/09/18 08:06 PM
Joined: Mar 2016
Posts: 1,557
Toronto
PeterPolyol Offline
PeterPolyol  Offline
Joined: Mar 2016
Posts: 1,557
Toronto


Why do freak storms always seem to adhere to weekend and statutory holiday schedules? mad


Scambling for solutions is a hopelessly futile endeavour and potentially dangerous, without first coming to a solid, personal understanding of the problem. Beware riding the ideological hobby horse.
Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: 53' Stude] #4661357
02/09/18 08:42 PM
02/09/18 08:42 PM
Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 19,271
PNW
ZeeOSix Offline
ZeeOSix  Offline
Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 19,271
PNW
Originally Posted By: car51
They said we would have mild winter; my rear end! 4" snow and 1.5" freezing rain Wednesday. Oh joy it was NOT


Blame the Farmer's Almanac for that. grin

Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: motor_oil_madman] #4661362
02/09/18 08:47 PM
02/09/18 08:47 PM
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 291
Alaska
AlaskaMike Offline
AlaskaMike  Offline
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 291
Alaska
Any minute now someone will probably mention HAARP. smirk

Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: motor_oil_madman] #4661365
02/09/18 08:50 PM
02/09/18 08:50 PM
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 3,214
The Canyons
02SE Offline
02SE  Offline
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 3,214
The Canyons
Beautiful weather here in Pomona today.

Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: PeterPolyol] #4661367
02/09/18 08:51 PM
02/09/18 08:51 PM
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 6,499
...
PimTac Offline
PimTac  Offline
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 6,499
...
Originally Posted By: PeterPolyol


Why do freak storms always seem to adhere to weekend and statutory holiday schedules? mad




It’s not just storms. The Good Friday Earthquake of 1964 for example.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1964_Alaska_earthquake


We had relatives living near Anchorage at that time. It took them over a month to get word down to Seattle that they were okay.
The tsunami from that quake hit the west coast and a number of people got washed away as they were curious about the extra low tide, not knowing what had happened. No instant communications back then.

I was stationed at Kodiak for 18 months and hiked up the small mountain behind the town. There was and maybe still is a marker denoting the height of the water. It was mind boggling to say the very least. Kodiak was destroyed by the tsunami. Even during my tour, you could still see the visible mark on the mountain where the wave went up to. It was a faint scar.

I was in Kodiak in 1976-77.


Last edited by PimTac; 02/09/18 08:52 PM.

Cannot see signatures any longer so it doesn’t matter.
Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: PeterPolyol] #4661371
02/09/18 08:52 PM
02/09/18 08:52 PM
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 5,123
Houston, Texas
motor_oil_madman Offline OP
motor_oil_madman  Offline OP
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 5,123
Houston, Texas
Originally Posted By: PeterPolyol


Why do freak storms always seem to adhere to weekend and statutory holiday schedules? mad



It's because 80 percent of the population misses out on the storm sitting in their cubicle, so people don't remember.


2007.5 dodge cummins 6.7 liter. Chevron Delo400 15w40. 7000 mile or 250-300hr intervals.

Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: motor_oil_madman] #4661374
02/09/18 08:53 PM
02/09/18 08:53 PM
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 679
West Ma.
rollinpete Offline
rollinpete  Offline
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 679
West Ma.
There a lot better at predicting weather than they were 20 yrs ago...
They said snow,rain,ice about 5 day's ago and sure enough we got that, almost with in a 20 mile line...
I suspect in another 5,10,years they'll have a 14 day forcast...


Pete.
97 Ford Expl.Sport 4.0 ohv 4wd 5spddrive185k miles
Last Change;
50/50 QSUD, QSHM. 5w30
Fram XG8A, Fram CA8141

Currently under the influence of oil shocked2

Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: motor_oil_madman] #4661404
02/09/18 09:21 PM
02/09/18 09:21 PM
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 5,123
Houston, Texas
motor_oil_madman Offline OP
motor_oil_madman  Offline OP
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 5,123
Houston, Texas
I think during the summer they aren't as good around here. In the summer the weather is going to do what it's going to do.


2007.5 dodge cummins 6.7 liter. Chevron Delo400 15w40. 7000 mile or 250-300hr intervals.

Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: motor_oil_madman] #4661435
02/09/18 09:54 PM
02/09/18 09:54 PM
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 6,499
...
PimTac Offline
PimTac  Offline
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 6,499
...
Speaking of storms happening in certain days, the Puget Sound region got hit on Clinton’s first Inaugural Day and that is what we named it. It was not forecasted either.

Our power was out for 9 days. It took just over 30 to get all utilities back online to the house.


Cannot see signatures any longer so it doesn’t matter.
Re: Storms develop out of nowhere? [Re: motor_oil_madman] #4661463
02/09/18 10:38 PM
02/09/18 10:38 PM
Joined: Jul 2003
Posts: 4,895
New Zealand
Silk Offline
Silk  Offline
Joined: Jul 2003
Posts: 4,895
New Zealand
We generally know what weather is coming here in New Zealand, it can be seen a long way off, out of the Southern Ocean, the Coral Sea, or off Australia. Timing and severity can be off, but the News and Weather like to err on the side of drama, so it's not usually worse than predicted.

It's summer here, but also the cyclone season. Last week we got hit with the remains of an old cyclone, still a pretty severe storm though. Tourists were cut off by road slips, and had to spend the night in cars, and were helicoptered out the next day. They were on the News, a bit upset and some mouthing off that the emergency services were 3rd World, and more should have been done etc. As the camera was panning, a local came up to one of the tourists who had been on camera and said ''But you knew a storm was coming didn't you ?'' The tourist said ''Oh yes, but we thought....''


1987 BMW R65 - Aegis SAE30
2005 Nissan Expert - Gulf Western 10W-40
1996 Volvo T5 - Penrite HPR15 - 15W-60. Ryco syntec filter.
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