Originally Posted By: Pablo
The entire market isn't a sham and you know it.
One thing you should know (especially in your industry, although not directly related) - because you and others always pull the refinery capacity number out.....refineries are rarely if ever at 100%. It doesn't happen - especially in summer clean out season.
Pablo,
IMO, by the time the "independent" market realises stuff, it's a lay down. The money has been made, and a few carrion picking up the scraps may do better than another few carrion. By the time the swarm is on, it's too late.
But you are 100% about capacity. When you can make 100% plus during the day (although I've seen 102% capacity factor for 30 days), and can generally only sell 65% over night, then there's 15% at least "left over".
At least with petroleum (rather than electricity) you can build tanks as buffers/accumulators....and they are pretty cheap.